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(GAME THREAD) TORONTO RAPTORS (2-8) @ CHARLOTTE HORNETS (6-6) - 7:30 PM (EST) on TSN1/TSN4
HELLLOO! Losing by a single point sucks. Losing by a single point twice in a row feels like some sort of divine punishment. Tonight, your Toronto Raptors look to end their streak of misfortune with a home game against the Hornets at 7:30 PM (EST) on TSN finally. Can the Raptors find a way to escape this nightmare of a start? Or has this nightmare just begun?… HOW TO WATCH
(GAME THREAD) TORONTO RAPTORS (2-7) @ PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (5-4) - 10:00pm (EST) on SN/SN1
BONJOUR! Get some coffee brewing, folks. Tonight we conclude our Western Conference campaign with a game against the Portland Trail Blazers at 10:00 PM (EST) at the Moda Center in Portland (no fans). Official game notes. HOW TO WATCH
(GAME THREAD) Toronto Raptors (5-8) vs. Miami Heat (5-7) @ 7:30 P.M. on SN1
Take your seats, everyone. Tonight we play the Miami Heat at 7:30 PM (EST) on SN1. A friend of mine pointed out that the Raptors are 3-0 since I started writing the titles for Post Game Threads in advance as if the Raptors had already won. Am I single-handedly saving the Raptors season? It's certainly possible. information current as of 6:06 p.m. est HOW TO WATCH
Like so many Brad Stevens teams, Boston’s bench is stuffed with rookie contract guys looking for minutes. Every year Ainge goes into the draft with multiple picks with all eyes on Boston. We hear all the trade rumors from moving up to moving down to moving on to trading for a star to trading for a role player. Almost without fail though, Ainge ends up using most of the picks. Because of this, Boston’s bench is loaded with guys trying to figure out how to make it in this league. Even with veteran additions Tristan Thompson and Jeff Teague, the vast majority of Boston’s roster is made up of project players. 9 out of our 17 roster spots are considered project players with the rest of the roster being established talent.
Below I’ve ranked our prospects in how much I value them from least valuable to most valuable.
Note: I've included an "Upside" category, which essentially is saying "In his prime, there is a chance this guy could hit this level". Not all of them will hit the upside mark I have for them. It's not about where they are now, but how good they could be.
Tremont Waters PG 5’10’’
Stats: 2.8ppg, .8rpg, 2.8apg, on 29/37/100 shooting
Upside: Emergency Depth
At the end of last year Tremont Waters overtook Edwards for me personally, if the Celtics had to make a call between the two. Waters’ skillset is more versatile and he can run at least a simple Pick and Roll offense while he can also shoot off the ball. The reason he’s dropped below Edwards is his lack of playing time. An obvious need for PG minutes has appeared on the roster with Kemba just now coming off a minutes limit, Teague not really bringing it, Pritchard being injured, and now Smart being injured, and Waters’ still isn’t getting much burn. Even at his absolute best he feels like a player you play when you’re down to your 3rd string. It’s worth carrying him as a 2 way contract, but I don’t see him making the main roster next year.
Carsen Edwards SG 5’11’’
Stats: 5.3ppg, 1.1rpg, .4apg, on 48/31/75 shooting
Upside: Bench Scorer
Edwards’ rookie year wasn’t great. He came into the year as an expected part of the rotation and quickly lost his minutes, despite the fact that Boston desperately needed a guy to score off the bench last year. He’s an undersized scorer and the narrative was that he needed to become more of a playmaker due to his height. That's very true, at 5’11’’ the margin of error is tiny. Isaiah Thomas is a good example of what the bar is for a guy this size at the NBA level. Unless he’s scoring at high volume and/or on great efficiency there isn’t really room for a scorer of his size because he’s limited at what else he can do. Even IT scoring 12ppg on 41/40/81 shooting wasn’t enough for him not to just get waived and not find space on a roster. Edwards needs to be more efficient than taller players to justify PT. He can get hot like very few guys I’ve ever seen, but he’s not getting onto the floor unless he’s consistently good, not just occasionally great.
Tacko Fall C 7’5’’
Stats: 3ppb, 3.8rpg, 0apg, on 63/0/50 shooting
Upside: Specialist
In limited minutes Tacko Fall has shown he’s an absolute game changer when he’s on the floor. The only issue is if he’s in the game, you have to adjust to his presence on both sides of the ball. On offense it revolves around feeding Tacko in the paint, and on defense you’re forced to keep Tacko close to the basket to intimidate shots but can’t switch like most teams want to. Against bad teams this is fine, but it’s not winning basketball against elite teams. Despite the highly specialized role, there is a place for Tacko in the league, doing what he does well. He’s never going to be a high minutes guy, but it’s not unreasonable for him to be worth a real roster spot.
Semi Ojeleye SF 6’6’’
Stats: 5.3ppg, 3rpg, .7apg, on 41/36/71 shooting
Upside: Spot Starter
Semi Ojeleye has a particular skillset. He’s not particularly great at it, but it’s such a valuable skillset that there is value behind guys who do what he can do. Semi can defend, and he can shoot. Is he a great defender? No. Is he a great shooter? No. But he’s ok at both and that's enough in this league. He’s an UFA this offseason. I can’t imagine he’ll garner anything but a minimum deal but he WILL get a contract somewhere. Worst case scenario a team is missing a starter and they can slip Semi into the starting lineup to reasonably defend someone and sit beyond the 3 point line and spread the floor. I hope he’s in Boston next year because he seems well liked by his teammates, is a hard worker, and like I said there is real value in a guy like Semi, but I don’t expect him to be anything other than 5ppg hitting 1 3 pointer.
FUN FACT: Although Semi is slated as a good defender, he records remarkably low block and steal numbers. Semi has 1 STEAL and 0 BLOCKS so far this year. Not sure what to take from that, but 1 steal in even his limited time feels like he doesn’t have active hands. Grant, who has similar low minutes, has 7 steals and 5 blocks. Even Payton Pritchard has 5 blocks to his name. Semi has 0, and while this season it’s extreme he has noticeably low block and steal totals. In the 19’20’ season Ojeleye recorded 21 steals and 5 blocks in 69 games playing 14.7mpg. Comparing Grant again, who had an almost identical 69 games playing 15.1mpg tallied 30 blocks and 36 steals.
Grant Williams PF 6’6’’
Stats: 4.7ppg, 3.rpg, .7apg, on 42/41/43 shooting
Upside: Spot StarteUtility Bench Player
Grant Williams does a little bit of everything on both ends. On offense he sets mean screens, he doesn’t make bad passes, he’s shooting better than last year, and he gives good effort on the offensive glass. On defense he’s versatile, quick enough so he’s not getting destroyed by smaller players, and strong enough so he’s not getting backed down by bigger guys. Other than the absolute elite there is not a defensive mismatch for Grant. So why is Grant not playing? A great complimentary piece in Grant on a top heavy team like Boston should get minutes, but he’s averaging 17mpg and even an occasional DNP-CD. My guess is Stevens has Thompson, who is bought and paid for, Theis, who is a FA next year, and Rob Williams, who is potentially more talented and fills more of a niche role, on the roster already and balancing their minutes is a challenge. None of the 4 big men make a case over Tatum playing significant time at PF so essentially 4 guys are fighting for the right to play C with Grant being the odd man out as he is only a 2nd year player. That being said I wouldn’t be shocked to see Grant in the lineup late in games when teams go super small. He closed out the Toronto series and I just tonight watched him close out the GSW game.
Aaron Nesmith SG 6’5’’
Stats: 3.2ppg, 1.7rpg, .4apg
Upside: Quality Starter
The jury is out on Nesmith. He’s who I wanted Ainge to take. I have a horrible history being wrong on draft picks admittedly, having wanted Dunn over Brown and Fultz at #1 over trading for #3 at the time. So obviously my draft logic is fucked. Maybe it's troubling we took Nesmith. He has shown flashes of shooting but he’s on the outside looking in for wing minutes with Tatum and Brown eating the majority. He is one of the guys who could get more run if Stevens decides Tatum at PF is the way to go and we shut down playing 2 bigs. He’s pretty lost on defense early and would still probably be on the bench unless we get hit with the injury bug even harder. You don’t give up on a lottery pick in their rookie season though, which is something we need to remind ourselves. This isn’t the King’s front office. With his potentially elite 3 point shooting ability Nesmith has the potential to round out starting lineups.
Romeo Langford SG 6’4’’
Stats: N/A
Upside: 6th man (Starter on a bad team)
Boy oh boy sometimes I forget this guy is even on the roster. Not only has he been plagued by injuries,they’ve been at the absolute worst timing. Missing training camp his rookie year, and then needing surgery his first offseason. A lot of guys didn’t expect the season to pick up so quickly after the Finals but here we are in February and Langford hasn’t suited up due to his surgery. He thought he’d have more recovery time with the season being shortened and delayed until January, maybe even February, but here we are February 2nd and we’re a quarter of the way through the season. When Romeo finally got on the court he showcased he has the potential to be a HIGH level defender, making defenders dribble into him without fouling. He’s still coasting off his college reputation as a scorer and wasn’t really able to show it his rookie year. I’m going to rest on my defense of Nesmith and say we can’t judge a lottery pick for his rookie year.
Payton Pritchard PG 6’1’’
Stats: 7.7ppg, 2.4rpg, 2.6apg, on 49/43/90 shooting
Upside: Quality Starter
I’m not as high on Payton Pritchard as a lot of us on the sub are. His 6’1’’ stature I think is going to limit his impact. That being said, I’m sitting here watching the 6’1’’ Fred VanVleet put up 54 points so what the hell do I know? Pritchard just does everything right when he’s on the floor. He defends hard, he hits open shots, and he plays with his head up. That gets you really far in this league and when Pritchard hits his prime he may find himself the starting PG of an NBA team. I think more realistically Pritchard will be a really good bench player with a long career, but I can’t say he doesn’t have the potential to be a starter. PG is one of the most overwhelmingly stacked positions in the league, though, and in 5 years you’re running into Ja Morant, Trae Young, Luka Doncic, SGA, and maybe LaMelo Ball will get there, you better have something on the floor to challenge it, and idk if Pritchard will ever be that guy. Amazing rookie year so far though, his future is bright. The odds are against him hitting this level. For every Fred Vanvleet there are countless guys in this archetype that don’t hit that level.
Rob Williams C 6’9’’
Stats: 6.2pph, 6.2rpg, .8apg, on 75/0/90 shooting
Upside: Quality Starter
Rob Williams is in his 3rd year and it’s not hard to see him as a team’s starting Center. He checks all the boxes, high efficiency offense, good rebounding percentages, and highlight blocks. He’s improved his rebounding, on court awareness, and although he rarely pulls the trigger, he looks very comfortable making a jumper when the situation calls for it. Even in his rookie year he showed offensive awareness, making simple but decisive passes and not letting the ball stick in his hands. If it's not in Boston I expect Rob Williams to have a Terry Rozier kind of leap where he goes from prospect to high level bench player, to quality starter once he hits his prime.
I seem to remember someone doing this a few years back and really enjoying it, so I thought I'd give it a shot with the condensed schedule leaving so many games on the schedule each night. I'm ranking each game in three categories: competitiveness, importance, and style points/storylines (which includes star power, the style of basketball, and any intriguing stories to watch). I'll include a survey at the end where you can predict the winners of each game! Let me know if this is something you'd like to see again! 10) Milwaukee Bucks (1-1) vs. New York Knicks (0-2) at 7:30 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Milwaukee -11 Last Meeting: January 14th, 2020. RJ Barrett drained five threes and Bobby Portis scored 20 off the bench, but the Bucks dominated the Knicks at Fiserv Forum 128-102. The two teams combined for a whopping 79 points in the third quarter. The Bucks have won their last five meetings with the Knicks, with the last New York win coming in an overtime thriller at the Garden in December of 2018. Competitiveness: A championship contender that dismantled the Warriors by 40 facing the Knicks on the tail end of a back-to-back. Not much else to say here. 1.5/10 Importance: This game is essentially a scheduled win for the Bucks, and a chance for the Knicks to test their young guys and let them grow up a little. Unfortunate that Obi Toppin will be on the sidelines for this one. 2/10 Style Points: The high-flying Bucks offense has been off to another hot start, topping the 120 point mark in both of their games. The Knicks' young guns have shown promise and made so flashy plays, but they also turn the ball over a lot. Neither team tends to foul a lot or shoot a ton of free throws, which will help game flow. Some might keep an eye on Giannis' free throw shooting, but the real story to watch is RJ Barrett's three point accuracy. He lit it up from distance against Indiana, but struggled mightily against Philly. Can he take a step forward in that department this season? Bonus points for the MSG crew calling this game. 6/10 Overall Rating: 3/10 9) Brooklyn Nets (2-0) vs. Charlotte Hornets (0-2) at 7:00 pm EST Where to Watch: NBA TV Spread: Brooklyn -7.5 Last Meeting: February 22nd, 2020. The Nets used a third quarter explosion to turn a comfortable win into a rout as they won 115-86. Luwawu-Cabarrot led the team in scoring with 21, while Garrett Temple of all people snagged eleven boards. Competitiveness: The Nets have steamrolled over their competition so far, blowing out the Warriors and Celtics by 20+ points. The Hornets have struggled with two losses to non-contenders, and come into this game on the wrong end of a back-to-back. 1.5/10 Importance: A contending Nets team cannot afford to drop games like this one, especially in the early part of the season when there are so many eyeballs on KD and Kyrie. The Hornets could really use a positive performance to get their season headed in the right direction. 4/10 Style Points: The Nets have stars all over the court and have looked like a juggernaut early this season, making them one of the most intriguing teams to watch, and a fun one too, as they've played fast and made lots of threes. Charlotte ranked last in pace of play last season but seems to be trying to pick things up. You'll get the Charlotte crew for this game on NBA TV, and they call a fun game. Terry Rozier and Gordon Hayward are two guys to pay attention to- Rozier dropped 42 on a Cavs team that sucks at defending point guards. Is he headed for a breakout season? Hayward was shut down by the Thunder last night and will look to get things going. Plus LaMelo Ball! 8/10 Overall: 4.4/10 8) Golden State Warriors (0-2) vs. Chicago Bulls (0-2) at 8:00 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Golden State -2.5 Last Meeting: December 6th, 2019. Glenn Robinson III made the go-ahead layup with a minute left and a very different looking Warriors team beat the Bulls 100-98 in Chicago. Denzel Valentine was ejected in the third quarter for yelling at the Warriors' bench. Competitiveness: The Warriors have been blown out by two great teams so far. The Bulls have been blown out by two mediocre teams and just played a deflating contest against the Pacers last night. 4.5/10 Importance: Both teams could really use their first win of the season. The Warriors cannot afford to lose to teams like the Bulls if they're going to contend for the playoffs. This probably still figures as a matchup of two non-contenders, though. 5.5/10 Style Points: The Bulls have lots of exciting young players, but they seem turnover-prone and have struggled to score. Neither team has been able to stop literally anyone on defense so far (lol thanks Golden State for taking Wiggins), so there's a chance this turns into one of those ridiculous shootouts where both teams top 70 in the first half. Patrick Williams looked good in his first game against the Hawks, but the Pacers were able to shut him down. Watching him adjust to the breakneck pace of games and the new level of competition will be interesting. The Warriors will need to find other sources of offense besides Curry and Wiseman, and this game is a perfect chance for them to do so. Definitely opt for the Chicago broadcast if you tune in. 4.5/10 Overall: 4.8/10 ** 7)Philadelphia 76ers (2-0) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (2-0) at 7:30 pm EST** Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Philadelphia -6 Last Meeting: February 26th, 2020. The Sixers had to play most of the game without their two best players as Joel Embiid left in the first quarter with a sprained shoulder. The Cavs, then the worst team in the East, led the entire way and won 108-94. Competitiveness: The Cavs look like a much better team this year as Sexton has another year under his belt and they have Drummond underneath. There's a long way to go to challenge the Sixers, though, and they played an exhausting two-overtime trench war with the Pistons last night while Philly coasted to an easy win over the Knicks. 5/10 Importance: Definitely a litmus test game for the Cavs- can they hang with Philly and prove that they can be that dangerous team no one wants to face in the east play-in tournament? The 76ers might be looking past this game as they have a big clash with Tampa Bay coming up on Tuesday. 4/10 Style Points: This game gives us two matchups between stars. Joel Embiid has been on a mission to start this season, following up his 29/14 against Washington with a 27/10 against the Knicks. His matchup with Andre Drummond will be one to watch. At point guard, Simmons-Sexton could be an even more exciting face-off. The Cavs have played a more fun style of basketball this season, using Sexton to ignite a high pressure defense that stole a win in Detroit. That double-overtime win might prove costly tonight, though, when they run out of gas against a deeper and more talented Sixers team. Bonus points for the Cavs having that really fun color guy, I guess. 6.75/10 Overall: 5.25/10 6) Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (1-1) at 10:00 pm EST Where to watch: NBA TV Spread: Los Angeles -11 Last Meeting: December 8th, 2019. AD dropped half a hundred and LeBron put up 32 and thirteen assists as the Lakers won a 142-125 slugfest. The Wolves hung around and trailed by only seven after three quarters before LA pulled away. Competitiveness: The Wolves are off to a surprising 2-0 start, including an impressive win in Utah last night. Most would write this off as a scheduled loss, though, with a back-to-back against the defending champs and KAT getting dinged up at the end of the Jazz game. Still, it will be interesting to see how this new-look Wolves team trades punches with AD and Bron in the first half. 6/10 Importance: The Lakers seem to finally be settling into the new season after a disappointing showing on opening night, and will be looking for another statement win. Some Wolves fans have speculated that they will rest KAT after his injury scare tonight. I'd expect him to play, but no one in Minnesota thinks they will win this game. 3/10 Style Points: Anthony Edwards going up against two of the best in the game? DLo back in LA? Upstarts against the defending champs? Top notch storylines for this game, where the first half will be a good litmus test for Minnesota, before fatigue probably sets in for guys like Edwards and Culver and the game gets pretty ugly. Minnesota's defense looks much improved this season, and their explosive bench can keep this game fun. And you know what you're getting with the Lakers' stars. Unfortunately the NBA TV rights to this game mean most fans will get the LA crew and miss out on the top notch Fox Sports North announcers. 8/10 Overall: 5.6/10 5) San Antonio Spurs (2-0) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (1-1) at 7:00 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: New Orleans -5 Last Meeting: August 9th, 2020. The Spurs and Pels faced off for a high-scoring showdown in the bubble that saw the two teams combined for 77 fourth quarter points. JJ Redick went off and hit eight threes and Zion chipped in 25, but the rest of their teammates shit the bed and the Spurs won 122-113. Competitiveness: The Spurs are off to a fast start, most recently squeaking out an impressive win over the Raptors last night. The Pelicans have produced mixed results, but beat Tampa by a more impressive margin and have an extra day of rest. Expect a close one early, with New Orleans having a sizeable edge late. 6.5/10 Importance: Both teams figure to be in the hunt for the final playoff spots and will see each other plenty this season as they are both in the same division. I doubt the Spurs would sweat this B2B loss too much, though. 7/10 Style Points: Zion put up a highlight-worthy 32 and 14 on Christmas Day against the Heat, and the Pels look like a new team on defense, making them one of the most interesting squads to watch this year. Ingram, Redick, Hart, and Lonzo can combine for an offensive explosion at any time. The Spurs can play kind of a bland style sometimes, especially with 35 year old LaMarcus Aldridge playing on a back-to-back. Dejounte Murray, who just posted his first career triple double and looks much improved this season, will be an interesting to player to watch today. This one feels like it could be a snooze-fest or a barn-burner, with nothing in between. 6.75/10 Overall: 6.7/10 4) Boston Celtics (1-1) vs. Indiana Pacers (2-0) at 8:00 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Boston -2.5 Last Meeting: Tuesday March 10th, 2020. The Celtics were the last team the Pacers faced before Miss Rona stepped in and put a stop to the basketball for awhile. Marcus Smart made the go-ahead layup to rescue Boston in the final minute after they blew a 19 point lead, and they held on to win 114-111. Sabonis posted a 28-9-8 night for Indiana. Competitiveness: The Celtics have the rest advantage, as they got the night off to lick their wounds after a Christmas Night Stomping at the hands of KD and Kyrie, while the Pacers had to take the floor last night and beat up on the Bulls. The Pacers figure to be in the middle of the playoff pack, while the Celtics would like to challenge the Bucks and Nets at the top, and this game will be a huge early measuring stick for both teams. The Pacers will have home floor, which makes this anyone's game. 8/10 Importance: It's never too early to have a big game for playoff seeding! The Celtics will be anxious to prove that their opening game win against Milwaukee was no fluke, while the Pacers need to show us that they can beat someone better than the Knicks and Bulls. 7.5/10 Style Points: This is where this game kind of falls short. Tatum, Kemba, Sabonis, Brown, and others all provide lots of star power, but aren't the big names featured elsewhere on this list, and both teams tend to play slower, more defensive-oriented basketball. The Celtics' thumping at the hands of the Nets is more of a story for Brooklyn than for Boston, and Indiana has maybe been the playoff team that jumped off the page less than anyone else so far. Add in a game that's only broadcast locally and that overlaps with every other game but two and this game takes a bump in a packed Sunday night slate. Still, this should be a very good game between two playoff teams, and a fun one to tune in for down the stretch if the Pacers keep it close. 5.5/10 Overall: 7/10 T-2) Orlando Magic (2-0) vs. Washington Wizards (0-2) at 7:00 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Washington -1.5 Last Meeting: Last night! The Magic and Wizards squared off for their first of back-to-back games, which was an exciting back-and-forth contest. The Magic had the edge on the glass for much of the game, which only intensified late as they pulled away and the Wizards started pressing and taking bad shots. Beal went off for 39 points while Westbrook posted a triple-double, proving that they can in fact play together just fine. Competitiveness: Last night's game was a see-sawing battle for most of the evening. Orlando looks like the better team and one of the more improved squads in the East, if their win against Miami is any indication. Still, beating a team on their home floor twice in a row is extraordinarily difficult, and the Wizards get to regroup and see if they can fix their rebounding woes against the same team. Expect another entertaining toss-up!9/10 Importance: Both teams are in roughly the same boat: improved squads who will likely find themselves sitting on the edge of the Eastern Conference playoff field. They won't see each other again in the first half of the season, and to pick up a quick two games on their competition would be an enormous boost for Orlando. 7.5/10 Style Points: The Wizards have been playing a fun new style with Russ and Bradley Beal sharing the load on offense, and early speculation about how the pair will get along on the court has been promising. The Magic get the job done with comparatively little star power, but Vucevic has always been one of the more underrated players in the league and deserves some recognition. Terrence Ross and Davis Bertans will be other players to keep an eye on- Ross has been extremely hot offensively in his first two games, while Bertans is a streaky shooter who can be the key to Washington winning or losing. Perhaps the most interesting storyline, though, is the back-to-back baseball-style two game series. College leagues are trying this out across the country and we've seen in leagues like the MAAC, Mountain West, and others how hard it is for superior teams to beat the same team on consecutive nights. We've also gotten a glimpse of this in the NBA preseason. This time, the teams are very evenly matched. How will the Wizards adjust tonight? What effect will the wonky scheduling have? 8/10 Overall: 8.2/10 T-2) Dallas Mavericks (0-2) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (2-0) at 3:30 pm EST Where to Watch: NBA TV Spread: Los Angeles -5 Last Meeting: August 30th, 2020. The Clippers knocked the Mavs out of the first round of the playoffs, winning Game 6 after the game was moved back due to the player strike. Doncic dropped 38 and Dorian Finney-Smith chipped in 16, but only one other Dallas played cracked double digits. L.A. moved on to the next round where they cruised through the first four games against the Nuggets and...oh wait hahahahahahahahahaha. Competitiveness: The Mavs need to get their shit together. They posted a close opening night loss against the Suns and then got their doors kicked in by the Lakers... neither of those are alarming results, but they're not the mark of a playoff team. The Clippers are angry at the way last season ended, ready to take it out on the league, and they've looked like a juggernaut with Nic Batum in their lineup, putting up convincing wins over the other top two teams in the West. Doncic can keep any game close, but he needs his teammates to carry some of the load, and the Clippers are still the clear favourites here. 6.5/10 Importance: Dallas needs to show that they can beat playoff teams, as their schedule for the next few weeks doesn't get any easier after tonight. They'll face the Heat, Rockets, Magic, Nuggets, and Pelicans. They'll have to figure out who their second and third best scoring options are in the process. Both teams will be looking for a statement win on a national stage- they're the only teams playing in the afternoon tomorrow and get a national broadcast on NBA TV. 8/10 Style Points: Kawhi... Luka... PG13.... could you really get any more star power? The Mavs looking for revenge on the team that knocked them out of the playoffs by beating them in a Sunday Showcase game (albeit on NBA TV) in their house provides a great story to go along with the stars. The Clippers have been red hot from three point range to start the season, and a Mavs defense that allowed 138 points to the Lakers will probably provide plenty of opportunities for more fireworks. If not for the potential of a lopsided final score, this would be the #1 game of the day. Tune into this instead of football on a relatively light NFL day. 10/10 Overall: 8.2/10 1) Phoenix Suns (1-1) vs. Sacramento Kings (2-0) at 9:00 pm EST Where to Watch: League Pass Spread: Phoenix -3.5 Last Meeting: Last night! Sacramento jumped out to a 15-2 lead, but the Suns almost immediately cut that in half, and tied the game early in the third quarter. The teams traded baskets for much of the second half, with DeAaron Fox and Buddy Hield carrying the offensive load for the Kings, who held on to win thanks to some timely offensive rebounding from Richaun Holmes. Competitiveness: Aside from the early flurry from the Kings, these teams were as evenly matched as they come, trading punches for the entire second half. The Suns probably won't shoot 11-44 from three point range again tonight, and the Kings will probably take better care of the basketball. Regardless, we're in for a fascinating rematch of two Western Conference playoff hopefuls. 10/10 Importance: Both the Suns and the Kings are exciting young teams with opportunities to improve on last season, and both figure to end up in that 7-10 seed range in the Western Conference. These two teams won't see each other again in the first half of the season, and the Suns cannot afford to drop back-to-back contests against one of their competitors for the last couple of playoff spots. The Kings, meanwhile, were largely overlooked by fans and writers heading into the season and look poised to outperform expectations. Going 3-0 to start the season would do a lot to quiet the doubters. Regardless, this two game series will likely end up mattering down the road. 8/10 Style Points: The Suns were the talk of the NBA Bubble in August and have continued turning heads with their opening night win against the Mavs. Chris Paul's presence at point guard allows them to run a better offense than "just let Devin Booker chuck as many threes as he wants and hope Ayton rebounds enough to let us eke out a close win". They're still a fun, up-tempo team that shoots lots of threes, and finally play some good defense if that's your thing too. Sacramento announced themselves as a team not to be slept on with their opening night win against the Nuggets (thanks Will Barton), and the trend continued last night. They've attempted the fewest threes of any team through two games this year, and their game plan of Fox driving and everyone crashing the glass gives us an intriguing contrast of styles. Like I mentioned for the Wizards game, the baseball-style series also presents us with interesting questions to answer in this game (how will the Suns adjust on the glass? can the Kings beat the same team twice in a row?), and a nerve-wracking two games between two teams who are very close in talent level and playoff hopes. Perhaps most importantly, Phoenix's broadcast is the only one on League Pass so far that has figured out their on-court audio and actually sounds normal. Keep that one in mind! 8/10 Overall: 8.7/10 I also made a Google Form where you can pick all the winners of today's games... I'll link that below. Thought it would be cool to see how Reddit does predicting the winners. I'll close the form at 3:30 when the Mavs and Clips tip off. I'll try to pare this down length-wise if and when I do this again. Thanks for reading! Pick the winners here!
Welcome back to another edition of NBA GPP Picks 1/30 for tonight’s eight games slate. Another 7 PM CST lock time should allow us to gather all the injury news we need. This evening’s main players to watch are Lebron, Anthony Davis, Tyler Herro, and Jimmy Butler as they all come into today with a questionable tag. I would guess that both Lakers superstars play tonight. A game to have exposure to will be Portland at Chicago due to the huge total of 232 in Vegas. In this article today I will be referring to DraftKings pricing where Giannis is the highest salary at $10,800. Based upon my research I will select two players from each position that intrigue me the most. Anything can happen with NBA slates now days so be sure to keep a close eye on news throughout the day. With that said let’s break down tonight’s juicy eight game NBA slate
Point Guard
Ja Morant – ($7,100) With Valanciunas out I wanted to run the numbers and see if it affected Morant much. With JVAL off the floor Morant has averaged 1.42 fantasy points per minute and a 31% usage rate to add to it. It is a small sample size but It shows upside. The Spurs play at the ninth fastest pace and has given up the ninth most fantasy points to point guards this season. An average matchup here but Morant has played in four full games and scored at least 41.5 fantasy points in three of those. I think this price is too cheap and you can definitely do worse than this matchup. John Wall – ($6,800) Houston has been slowly working Wall back and last game he received 30 minutes on the court. His restriction should be light if not lifted here. Wall comes into tonight the cheapest he has been on DraftKings all season. As Wall has gotten more minutes his usage has increased as he sported a near 30% usage rate last game which led the team. He draws a good positional matchup as well with the Pelicans allowing the fourth most fantasy points to point guards this season. Wall has scored 35 fantasy points in his previous two games in which he was limited. With another minute’s increase expected over 40 fantasy points is a good bet here for Wall. Anfernee Simons – ($4,400) Simons is a sneaky little value here I think with McCollum, Jones Jr, and Nurkic already ruled out. Robert Covington is still questionable with a concussion as well so plenty of minutes possibly up for grabs here. With the three above off the floor Simons sees an impressive usage bump of 3.7% bringing his usage to 25.7%. He is recording .98 fantasy points per minute with them off the floor this season as well. Simons minutes are trending in the right direction and its possible we lose another Blazer in this spot. This matchup is fantastic as Chicago ranks second fastest and has given up the second most fantasy points to point guards. I put a third point guard because I don’t love small forward today and I could use this to mention Gary Trent. He is intriguing as well but Simons had better numbers in my opinion and is cheaper. 📷
Shooting Guard
Zach Lavine – ($8,800) Portland has been struggling defensively especially without several starters including defensive player Derrick Jones Jr. Portland has given up the sixth most fantasy points to shooting guards and have dropped to third worst in the league in defensive rating. When Markkanen came back it initially hurt Lavine’s usage, but had back-to-back games with 33% usage or more now. This is going to be a fast-paced game with minimal defense that I want to get pieces of. Grabbing Chicago’s usage leader in a good positional matchup looks to be a fine play. Tyler Herro – ($7,200) He comes into tonight questionable but I do think he plays. He returned from injury his previous game to play 32 minutes and accumulate 41.5 fantasy points. Goran Dragic has already been ruled out for Miami. If Butler is out again Herro is intriguing as his usage increases by 3.7%, which brings him to the team lead at 28.5%. He draws a great matchup against Sacramento who ranks dead last in defensive rating and play at the tenth fastest pace. If Herro plays his minutes shouldn’t be limited unless we hear otherwise as he did just play 32 minutes in his return.
Small Forward
Gordon Hayward – ($7,300) In six straight games Hayward has seen at least 37 minutes of playing time which is almost as safe as it comes. His usage leads the team and so do his minutes. Milwaukee is a solid matchup as they have given up the third most fantasy points to power forwards and has been the seventh fastest team this season. This price is around the lowest that Hayward has been this season. Two straight subpar performances should keep Haywards ownership low for this slate.
Power Forward
LaMarcus Aldridge – ($5,400) Due to a tough defensive task in Jokic the Spurs had to look elsewhere than Aldridge. Poeltl saw a big chunk of minutes to defend Jokic last night and that led to Aldridge to see just 22 minutes. This is strictly a GPP play because LMA does have fluciating minutes as we saw last night. I like that Valanciunas will be out allowing Aldridge to face lesser defensive opponents in my opinion. We have another cheapest price of the year alert here and that’s a big reason I feel safe with LMA. At this price he has a 7X to 8X ceiling and his ownership should be driven down some due to the terrible performance last night. 📷 Carmelo Anthony – ($5,500) When McCollum, Joner Jr, and Nurkic are off the floor Anthony sees a usage increase of 6.2%. That brings his usage rate to 27% second to only Lillard without the listed players. His fantasy points per minute during that time is good for this price at .92 points. The minutes have been great recently as he seen 35 minutes or more in two straight games. Melo draws an amazing matchup with Chicago who is second fastest in pace and has surrendered the fourth most fantasy points to power forwards this year.
Center
Mason Plumlee – ($5,400) This isn’t a flashy usage play but Plumlee is looking in the eyes of an amazing spot. Golden state has been third fastest in the league and has surrendered the fourth most fantasy points to centers this season. Another positive for Plumlee is that Golden State has the lowest rebound percentage this season. That looks good for a man coming in with three straight double-doubles coming into this game. A great matchup awaits Plumlee and he has all the potential to capitalize here. Xavier Tillman – ($3,500) Tillman has been a very solid value play before Valanciunas went out and now he is still low priced. In his last five games Tillman has recorded at least 18 fantasy points in all five games. His last two games seen him accumulate 28 and 29 minutes which I expect to remain the same with Valanciunas out. In both of those games Tillman gathered 25 fantasy points as he has eclipsed that number in three straight games now. His price should be higher than this but we have a solid value play as a result. Gorgui Dieng is an option as well as his minutes could increase as will but Tillman was over $1,000 cheaper. Monkey Knife Fight Trail Blazers vs Bulls 📷 Zach Lavine – 25.5 points – More – This game should be a track meet with little defense played at all. It wouldn’t surprise me if the total of this game got near 250. Even with the return of Markkanen Lavine has still carried the heavy lifting for Chicago with the highest usage. Portland struggles against shooting guards which is another positive for Lavine. Damian Lillard – 30.5 points – More – Lillard is going to take as many shots as he feels necessary to keep his team in games. As I mentioned in the Anfernee Simons piece Chicago has really struggled to defend point guards and the big usage without McCollum should continue to benefit Lillard. I don’t think we have seen the ceiling of Lillard when McCollum is off the floor but I do think we see it here against the Bulls. Closing NBA GPP Picks 1/30 Join myself and the Win Daily staff in Discord Chat, where we keep you updated on all injury news and help you adjust to it accordingly. Slates with around half the teams playing are typically my favorite nights. Making it even more intriguing is we could have the injury news we need early enough to build lineups. Majority of tonight’s spreads are tight which should lead to a fun night of basketball. As usual news can break at any time of day with this COVID era so always be watching. Today is my birthday so I will enjoy tonight and have tomorrow off. Enjoy your weekend and tonight’s NBA slate. Thank you for reading my article NBA GPP Picks 1/30 and good luck on this eight-game slate!
Massive 10 game slate today, and I'm ready for a new day in the NBA. There's a lot of options on a slate this size, which makes building lineups a little tougher. There's a few routes that we can take when building lineups tonight, and I'll be once again doing my best to help you find a good one. First things first, especially on a big slate like this, is to shrink how many guys and games we're looking at. On big slates like this, I like to pick out a few of my favorite games, and then create a 'script' for how that game could go. This helps me decide on which players I want to use from those games and how I want to stack them up. Sometimes 1 guy from each team in a game is a good play, sometimes 2 from one and then 1 from the other, or 3 from one and none from the other, etc. This helps me narrow in on good plays, as handpicking guys in each position can get tough. For example; Today's game with the highest vegas total is the Wizards/Celtics game. The Celtics are a -4.5 and the game total is 234.5. Simply, the projected score is right around 120-115 Celtics. That's some really high fantasy potential for both sides. Even better is, I think the Wizards are going to score even more than that and actually win the game outright! Even better better, is that the Celtics are having rotation issues now and will be super short handed. This makes using players from both teams an easy way to give our lineup a good base of fantasy points. 10 game slates spread out ownership enough where I'm not worried about getting too chalky with this game, so I'll be looking at playing 1 or 2 of the studs from each team and maybe even a value play from one to get a nice little 2-2 or 2-1 stack going. WESTBROOK $10700 is likely to get some pretty high ownership today, but I'm not worried about making my lineup different elsewhere. He's a lock for me today, and I'll be running back with both of SG JAYLEN BROWN $8000 and SF JAYSON TATUM $9400. If this Celtics team scores 120 today, these guys are gonna have a huge part in that. Barring foul trouble, they could play 40 minutes due to the Celtics situation. This gives my lineup a great floor of points, and now I go on with building the rest of my lineup. There's a bunch of games in great spots today to take a similar approach with, this is just an example of how I would start a lineup build today. The 100k lineup from last night had 3 of the Nets and ran it back with Tyrese Maxey from Philly, so feel free to get weird with your stacks. I'm going to finish this post with some other games that I'll be looking to stack, and whether it'll be studs or value I'm looking at and who I like. MIL/UTAH: BOTH Love the idea of a GIANNIS- DIVINCENZO/MITCHELL-BOGDANOVIC 2v2 stack. Milwaukee's rotation should be shorter today without Connaughton and this projected total is big. Milwaukee isn't great against 3 pt shooting either. BKN/MEMPHIS: VALUE No studs to pay up for but the minutes are going somewhere. Watch out for BRUCE BROWN$3800, CHRIS CHIOZZA $3600, TIMOTHE LUWAWU-CABORROT $4100, or DEANTHONY MELTON $3800 to go 8x today. ORL/HOU: BOTH Orlando will have tight rotations today, and will need to play well to keep it close. Can find solid value from COLE ANTHONY $5000 and TROSS $5700 to pair up with HARDEN or WALL,. Good matchup for VUC or AG too SAC/TOR: VALUE If Holmes and Fox are out, this becomes a scary blowout risk for the Kings, but they would have guys in great spots with that news. HALIBURTON $5400 and BAGLEY $5800 would receive most of the minutes/usage boost, but guys like BJELICA $3700, JOSEPH $3800, BUDDY HIELD $5200, and WHITESIDE $4000 become great tournament plays. The Kings are miserable on defense inside, so I love the plays of LOWRY, FVV, and SIAKAM on the other side. Good luck tonight guys! Kitty
NBA DFS Plays - Thursday, February 11th, 2021 - CheatSheetPros.com!
NBA Breakdown from CheatSheetPros! QUICK NEWS AND NOTES: NBA is changing throughout the day so if you are new to NBA DFS then you need to be ready to make pivotal moves 30 minutes prior to lock.Just another reminder if you are new that was post thisNBA CheatSheeteveryThursdayin our“Free”Facebook groupfor people to try out. (Link is at the bottom of article.)I post it in the morning and then update and post it again 60-90 minutes prior to lock. VALUE PLAYS: It is difficult to project a low priced guy this early in the day.Most of the best value plays pop up inside that last hour prior to lock.I would suggest no matter what tools you are using that when finding a value play look at their FPPM (Fantasy Point Per Minute) production over the season and last 5 games.I see so many “value plays” that are chalky but the guy has a FPPM of 0.65 or 0.72 and they just don’t do anything.I prefer guys with a FPPM over 1.00 but at least over 0.90 at a minimum.Also, a GUARD/CENTER value play usually performs better than a random forward because they are more involved.That’s just my two cents. GETTING VALUE: I wanted to address the “value” portion of DFS. If you are playing in large field GPP tournaments you need the best bang for your buck. For example, if a player is being touted across the industry he is going to be “highly owned” but I look to see if he has 7x upside. You want 5x as a MIN, 6x is the target and 7x+ is what you really need for a GPP. Taking 10th in a GPP doesn’t pay much but 1st is a massive return and that is what we need to aim for. In my articles I don’t tend to hype up guys that are over $10k (on DK) because 5x is 50 points and that is common and 6x is a pretty solid night but 7x+ is hard for those guys to obtain. For example, Joel Embiid will be a highly touted stud tonight at 10,800 on DK. So 5x is around 55, 6x around 66 and 7x around 77. In his last 10 games he has a high of 65 DKPs and that is great but won’t win you a GPP unless all your other guys go off. This year he has 1 game where he went nuts for 82.5 DKPs and that is a rare outing so 1 out of 21 games he got to 7x+. I would rather find a guy that is around 8000 and his 7x is only 56 DKPs and then he has more room over the top to climb into 8x, 9x, etc. Just my two cents. PLAYERS WE LIKE TONIGHT: TORONTO PLAYERS: I’m going to list a handful of players because running through the NBA cheatsheet and looking at individual teams there are two teams that stand out have usually have 2-3 guys going nuts. Toronto & Detroit. Chris Boucher – If you have followed some of my screen shots we always try to target someone with a high last 5 game FPPM as they are likely to crush their standard projection. Boucher is the top guy on the list that is playing at +14%. He is a 1.21 on the season and 1.35 FPPM over the last 5 games. He is priced at only 6K and has put up 44, 33.5, 49 and 33 DKPs over his last 4 games taking at least 10 shots, grabbing 9+ boards and 1-2 blocks per game. His 49 DKP game was 8x value, that is the same as Joel Embiid putting up 85 DKPs. Now is it more likely Joel Embiid hits 85 DKPs or Chris Boucher to get to 48 DKPs? Now you get the mindset behind GPP lineup building. I would say Joel Embiid has as 2-3% chance and less likely with Ben Simmons and Tobias Harris on the court while Chris Boucher has a 30-35% chance to get there. Pascal Siakam – He is down from 8300 to 8000 and he has been on fire! In his last 6 games he has 3 games over 53 DKPs and if you are doing the math that is 6.5x+ and even put up a 65 pointer 4 games ago. Boston ranks strong against the guards but they are week against the forwards and centers (big men) so that is where I’m looking to attack tonight. Kyle Lowry / Fred VanVleet – We are attacking with the big guys but if you want to pair a guard I don’t mind either of these two. Lowry is only 7300 which feels too cheap with him putting up 40-55 DKPs on a frequent basis. VV is a whopping 8500 so harder to pair with the big guys but has a slightly higher upside hitting 50+ more frequently. VV is not a priority for me but I understand if you are playing him. Preferred player combos: Lowry + Boucher, Lowry + Pascal Siakam DETROIT PLAYERS: Same as I stated above with Toronto players they are priced solid enough that 3 guys are usually dropping 6x+ per night. Here are the 3 guys that jump out at me. Note: I also wanted to add that in the last 2 games all 3 of these players were 6x value or HIGHER in the same game. That is rare to have 3 guys all going 6x+ value together. Typically, you get 1-2 players per team for 6x+. Delon Wright – He is only 6300 and has been working as the primary ball handler putting up 43+ DKPs in his last two. Jerami Grant – Grant is way too cheap at 7400! He has 47, 53, 28 and 44.5 DKPs in his last 4. I would expect him to be around 8200-8500. His usage is always mid 20’s and up. The one dud game was against a good PHO team that plays really slow and they only scored 92 points in that game. Love Grant tonight on this small slate. You are giving me a guy at 7400 that has 50+ DKP upside? That is 7x with a little room on top for the cherry! Yes please! Mason Plumlee – He jumps off the page. He is coming off 50 DKPs, prior to that 40 DKPs, a dud game of 22 and then another 41 DKP game. I would guess his price to be around 7K to 7.5K with those performances but he is only 6100. Heck, if you get 30 DKPs he doesn’t kill you and he has 50 DKP upside? OTHER PLAYERS WE LIKE: Nikola Vucevic – Yes, Joel Embiid is the cash play at 10,800 because he is about as safe as they come for 5x-6x value but for GPPs I want MORE! I want to climb into that 7x range and leave some money that I can load up other spots. Vucevic is that man! He is 9400 which is a lot but it’s 1400 less than Joel Embiid. He is coming off 62 DKPs last game, 33.5 where he only played 24 minutes in a blowout by Chicago and then 78 DKPs and 51 DKPS. If he is on the floor for 30+ minutes he is a lock for 5x. With Aaron Gordon OFF the court his usage climbs over 30%. Now let’s also consider Orlando may be without Cole Anthony or Evan Fournier and his shots may increase even more. Jimmy Butler – He is 8400 and he is almost a cash game lock night in and night out. He has no less than 44.5 DKPs and highs constantly over 50 DKPs and even pushes 60 DKPs (over his last 8 games). The closer the game the better he does and tonight it is only a 2 point spread so I’m looking for a solid game from Jimmy Buckets. He is a 1.22 FPPM player and over the last 5 games he is up to 1.41! John Wall > Victor Oladipo – Wall is my preferred choice as he is 700 cheaper on DK and producing at a higher level. On a short slate I’m sure one of there guards will be used in several lineups. Wall consistently out produces Oladipo when they are on the court together and has a higher usage. Walls usage the last 3 games sits at 36%, 33% and 42% and Oladipo is 28%, 25% and 37%. As the great, Kyle Stevens once said, “Usage is key if the projections are close.”. VALUE VAULT: Sterling Brown – I’ve been playing this guy like crazy with Wall or Oladipo take a day off. They are likely both playing tonight so his minutes might be scarce but his is over 1.00 FPPM and usually near min price. He plays 20-25 minutes per game (normally) and is putting up 25-30 DKPs. Not a bad dart for a GPP. Dwight Howard – He is only 3800 and he makes the most of any minutes on the floor. He has only played 13, 13, 10 and 14 over the last 4 games but in two of those he put up 29 and 22 DKPs. If he can squeak out 20 minutes (which is not likely) he can put up 30-35 DKPs. Frank Mason – Likely the chalk value tonight as he should get the start with Cole Anthony (doubtful). He is only 4000 and has put up 25 and 21 DKPs in the last two and could get 30 minutes of run tonight. Watch the breaking news. It is worth noting that looking into him last season he went for 38.25 and 40 DKPS in back to back games on August 11th and August 13th of 2020 and he only played 22 and 26 minutes in those games. So the upside is there. CASH GAME BUILDS: For cash games and some GPPs this is how I’m starting my lineup builds this afternoon. PG – Delon Wright (6300) SF – Jimmy Butler (8400) C – Nikola Vucevic (9400) UTIL – Chris Boucher (6000) Free Group Link: www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/ Premium Group Access: www.CheatSheetPros.com Twitter Follow for DFS plays & Sports Bets: https://twitter.com/CheatSheetPros New Reddit Community for Sports Betting & DFS: SportsBettingandDFS Thanks for reading & good luck! Haze
That wasn't pleasant to watch. Box Score Killian Hayes: Not a huge shock here but holy smokes he looked in over his head. Young point-guards usually have tons of issues and the shortened training camp will only widen those issues. 5 points on 7 shots with 7 turnovers in just 21 minutes is bad but looked even worse since several of those turnovers were really bad. Once again though, not a big concern here. Should probably wait at least a month or so into the season before drawing any wider conclusions. The bigger picture with Hayes is watching whether or not he has the athletic explosion to create space against defenders and/or finish over shot blockers in the paint and we didn't really get much chance to see that here. I guess all we can really take away from this is that it does suggest that Hayes will not be the exception to the rule and he will often play ugly games as he learns through mistakes. ' Delon Wright: I don't even know what to say about him. Not clear what his role was supposed to be, not clear where he was supposed to fit in, and largely seemed invisible. Wright is a decent player and his defensive chops are pretty solid so he should have value this season but just looked totally out of sorts. Jerami Grant: Uh oh. I am not one to panic after a single preseason game. Grant missed a couple of good looks from deep which isn't a concern because he is proven as a spot-up shooter. He also had basically no noticeable impact on defense which isn't a concern because that's proven. Grant came to Detroit from Denver because he wanted a larger offensive role, he has literally no history of being any sort of shot-creator in his NBA career. He never creates for himself and he never even dribbled. We got our first glimpse here and it was terrible. His handle was loose, he didn't go anywhere with his drives, he puked up like 3 awful 20-footers, and generally looked exactly what you would expect a role-player to look like if they suddenly tried to create their own offense. This is one preseason game, he will hit those threes other nights and hopefully they do some more stuff to get him in good spots but given that around the league (including a couple Denver guys I talked to) there was tons of skepticism about him being even remotely capable of a larger role, this is something to watch even now in the preseason. If he looks this hapless with the ball in his hands into the regular season it would be very bad. Blake Griffin: Looked healthy, looked bouncy, looked energetic. What else to say here? Not going to fall into the "omg what if he stays healthy this season" trap because I'm not going to get hurt like that and instead I'll just enjoy however long he does look like this. Welcome back Blake. Mason Plumlee: Given that I actually defended him quite a bit this was a total stinker. No offensive impact and actively bad on defense. Sekou: Not very involved. Had a good dunk. I hope that Casey has some intention to let him spread his wings a bit this season because he only played 11 minutes tonight and pretty much never had the ball. Jahlil Okafor: 5 points on 2 shots. He gives up points but I am calling it right now that he's going to become popular quickly. This Pistons team figures to have significant issues with spacing and shot creation/scoring and when Blake/Rose get hurt/traded that will only get worse. Okafor is very likely the Pistons 3rd best scorer and I legitimately believe he's going to win over the Pistons coaching staff. Isiah Stewart: Only played a few minutes at the end of the game but was pretty much as advertised because he played super hard but also was kind of out of control. Reminds me of Mitch McGary when he first got in the league before his career was killed by smoking too much pot. Hard to say how much Stewart will actually impact the game long-term but he should be pretty fun in short bursts this season. Derrick Rose: Same story here as with Blake. Looked bouncy and energetic. Just going to enjoy him while I can.\ Saddiq Bey: Easily looked like the most comfortable of the Pistons young-guys. In fact he may have looked the most together of almost anyone other than Blake/Rose. Looks better since he actually hit a few shots but he just looked steady. Everyone else: Svi looked good. Jackson is not a good NBA player. Ellington and McGruder don't matter they looked fine. Saban Lee played but didn't do anything. LETS OVER REACT BABY JERAMI GRANT IS THE NEW JOSH SMITH EXCEPT AT LEAST JOSH SMITH COULD PASS What do you think? Will Hayes look more in control tomorrow? Are you worried about Grant? Do you dare to believe Blake and Derrick?
Here we are! The first slate of February was a big one as I was able to win the $1 Single Entry Tournament yesterday! We are going with a new break down format today to better help you out! Let me know what you think! We will have to see the status of some of the big names so make sure you download the OptimalDFS App and turn on your notifications with up to date NBA Info! The link is at the bottom of this article!
Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic: 7 pm
Injuries: Raptors: Out: Anunoby Questionable: Powell Magic: Out: Gordon, MCW, Fultz, Aminu, Isaac Spread: O/U: 215: Raptors: 110.5 vs Magic 104.5 (TOR -6) Interest Level: 5 Favorite Play: Magic: James Ennis ($3,400) Raptors: Pascal Siakam ($7,700) Snapshot: The Magic are coming into this game severely depleted. The injuries are mounting and this game should only be looked at for the Center position of both teams and maybe a couple of straggling value plays due to the injuries for the Magic. The starting lineups will be telling for both sides. If Clark or Birch get the start with Gordon out, there could be value for both of them. The biggest question is going to be who takes on the second unit point guard responsibilities. Gordon was running the show, but now it looks like it will fall on the shoulders of minimum priced Jordan Bone. It is also worth noting that Chuma Okeke is returning for the Magic tonight, but even at the minimum, a minutes restriction could be devastating. The Raptors are going to be lead by Siakam again tonight. If Powell also remains to be out, I still like Terence Davis in this game. He got bumped up to $4,000 but that is worth it for someone who is going to be getting 26 minutes if Powell is out again. If Powell comes back, it would really be a blow to my interest on the Raptors’ side as there are just better places to go in this slate. If you want to see the rest of the breakdowns follow the link here!
We may have just a seven game slate tonight, but there are lots of teams that don’t play defense which means three of these games have an O/U of 230+. There will be plenty of scoring to go around. And with a few starters either resting or injured, we have some guys who will see a largely increased role tonight.
Core Demar Derozan ($7,800) - Derozan is averaging 6.1x this price in his last three games. Yet none of those three were as high scoring as tonight's matchup is projected to be. It currently has a 231 O/U with just a one point spread. I am expecting for Derozan to at least continue this hot streak and pay off his salary with LMA likely out again. However, forward is the Warriors worst defended position so he could be in store for a lot more tonight.
GPP Donovan Mitchell ($8,100) - With Mike Conley out, Mitchell will take over the primary PG duties for the Jazz. Conley has a 25% usage rate, 2nd most among the Jazz starters. Mitchell already averages 31% and now should be taking on a good portion of what Conley is leaving on the table. If he can get more involved with passing the ball and racking up assists and keep up his 24 PPG, he could be looking at a 50+ DK points game like last game against the Pacers.
Welcome to Cash with Flash 2.8 Best Bets! Glad to see you and I hope that your sports betting endeavors are going well. It’s been difficult handicapping professional sporting contests but if you’ve been tailing me, listening to my show, or read my books then you have been making money. Cash with Flash Best Bets has 2020-2021 season-long totals of 66-53-1 for NFL football, 48-21 in NCAAF, 39-27 for NCAAB, 15-8 in NHL, and 50-30-1 in the NBA. Had you wagered $100 dollars on each pick Cash with Flash offered you’d be ahead of the game by about $6300 since September 8, 2020. That’s not too shabby and Cash with Flash Best Bets is still the place for longterm sports investing success. Cash with Flash is coming off of a 2019-2020 betting season where we enjoyed a $30,000 ROI. That's not too bad either. NBA 2020-2021 Money Line Leaders 1). New York Knicks +3.8 2). Houston Rockets +3.2 3). Chicago Bulls +3.0 4). Utah Jazz +2.5 5). Charlotte Hornets +2.5 NBA 2020-201 ATS Leaders 1). New York Knicks (12-12) +3.8 2). Houston Rockets (10-12) +3.2 3). Chicago Bulls (13-9) +3.0 4). Utah Jazz (16-7) +2.8 5). Charlotte Hornets (10-12-1) +2.5 NBA 2020-2021 Totals Leaders 1). Brooklyn Nets (18-7 over record) +7.7 2). Denver Nuggets (16-6 over record) +5.8 3). Indiana Pacers (13-9-1 over record) +4.7 4). Chicago Bulls (12-10 over record) +4.3 5). Milwaukee Bucks (13-9-1 over record) +4.3 We have eight games on the NBA schedule but we’re only interested in a couple of contests for tonight. Golden State Warriors-San Antonio Spurs This game opened with the Spurs as 1.5 point home favorites but the game is now a “pick-em” at most shops. I would’ve preferred the points because we like the Warriors in this one. LaMarcus Aldridge and Lonnie Walker IV have both been ruled out as has the Warriors James Wiseman. Stephen Curry is putting up video numbers and an already challenged defense with Aldridge on the floor is going to be terrible without him. Take the Warriors in this one. Milwaukee Bucks-Denver Nuggets Games involving these two teams exceed the total more than most NBA teams and they play each other with a 229.5 point total. The Bucks play the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA while Denver is one of the slowest but the Nuggets allow an eighteenth best 112.1 points per game. Don’t worry about the pace-down contest as the Bucks defense isn’t what it was a season ago and allows 111.1 points against a Nuggets team scoring an average of 115.4 points a contest. Take the OVER in this one. NCAAB 2020-2021 Money Line Leaders 1). Colgate +10.2 2). Morehead State +8.3 3). Drake +8.3 4). Wright State +7.9 5). UC Riverside +7.2 NCAAB 2020-2021 ATS Leaders 1). Colgate (5-3) +10.2 2). Morehead State (14-5) +8.3 3). Drake (14-2) +8.3 4). Wright State (12-7) +7.9 5). UC Riverside (8-3-1) +7.2 NCAAB 2020-2021 Totals Leaders 1). American University (3-1 over) +13.9 2). Long Beach State (6-2 over) +11.4 3). Cal Baptist (9-3 over) +9.6 4). Georgia Tech (8-5-2 over) +9.5 5). NC Central (4-2 over) +9.4 There are quite a few NCAAB games tonight and we’ll take a look at one of them and see how we fare. You must stay out ahead of injuries plus coronavirus concerns and the best website I know for this would be Newsday. Nebraska Cornhuskers-Minnesota Golden Gophers Minnesota is favored at home by 11.5 points tonight and that’s a bit too many points for this contest. Nebraska missed nearly a month of games thanks to coronavirus but none of their three losses were by more than a dozen points and they are 2-2-1 ATS as the away team. Minnesota is a bad shooting team and allowing 73 points per game is not a team that covers large spreads no matter how bad an opponent’s offense is. Take the points and go with Nebraska to cover the spread tonight. NHL Top Five Winning Teams We’re not talking about how many games a team wins but how much money you would win had you wagered $100 on each of the following teams’ total games this season. 1). Toronto Maple Leafs $322 2). Carolina Hurricanes $296 3). Winnipeg Jets $273 4). Florida Panthers $236 5). Montreal Canadiens $201 NHL Top Five Losing Teams 1). Detroit Red Wings -$655 2). Ottawa Senators -$565 3). Chicago Blackhawks -$388 4). Vancouver Canucks -$353 5). New York Islanders -$238 Tampa Bay Lightning-Nashville Predators The Lightning has played very well this season but the Predators have played very well at home and 4-1-0 at home isn’t +135 type of a line no matter who they play. Tampa Bay is riding a four-game winning streak (all at home) whereas Nashville is coming off of a four-game road trip where they went 1-3. Andrei Vasilevskiy (7-1-0) is the Tampa Bay probable starting goaltender while the Preds plan on Juuse Soras (3-3-0) tending to the twine tonight where he is 3-0-0 at home this season. Take the Preds at +135 tonight!
WARNING: If you are interested in data analysis and trying to beat the system then please proceed, but it is a long read with a lot of mathematical concepts. Hey everyone! I am seeking some advice on an analysis program I have running on excel right now for NBA Player Prop bets. I am not able to share 100% of what I have, as I have worked very hard on it and believe it to be valuable; however, only time will tell. What I am wanting to do is get 3rd party opinions on how it is currently set up, and if anyone knows of any other variables I need to factor in, not implying that it is some new, awesome, unheard of analysis, but if you find it valuable and contribute to it in some way and would like access to it, then we can definitely make it happen! So I got started with this because I saw an opportunity to analyze a player's season and career to make a statistical bet on whether X player would be undeover X state on something like FanDuel. After several days (I know that isn't the largest sample size), I was constantly winning and decided to make a program that would track statistics and other variables and let me know if the numbers offered by the betting sites were statistically probable to hit the under or the over. So now let me get into what all I have factored in so far and how it works. So currently the file consists of the following tabs: defense, offense, injuries, home/away adjustment (still tinkering with this one), and finally each NBA team has their own tab. **Defense**: This tab has live updated stats of how every team does on defense. This is separated into almost every statistical category: rebounds, assists, points, fg attempted, fg made, fg %, 3pt attempted, 3pt made, 3pt %, etc. I then took every team, averaged their numbers together for an NBA Team Average, and then divided each team's statistics by the league average to get a "Team Defense Rank". For example, if the Hawks average 105 points a game and the NBA Team Average is 100, then the Hawks points per game rank would result in a factor of 1.05 (we will come back to this). I did this for every statistic and team. **Offense**: This tab has live updated stats just like the defense tab, except it is done on a player basis and the stats being per game. For example, KD averages 27 points per game, 48% FG per game, etc. **Injuries**: This tab has live updated injuries and shows them on each Team's tab. What I mean by this (and will talk more about it in the team tab) is that each team tab has that team's roster. If a player is listed as injured (2 ways: day-to-day and out) then it gives you an insight on the betting. For example, tonight KD is not playing but Kyrie is. If I run all of my data and some bets say to take the over on Kyrie, you might REALLY want to take the over as Kyrie is likely to be more involved or maybe it concerns you that Brooklyn could get blown out thus Kyrie only plays limited minutes and so you decide not to place any bets on the game. **Home/Away Adjustment**: This tab factors in how each player does at home vs away compared to their career averages which gives you a multiplication factor to use. For example, imagine Kyrie averages 20 points per game for his career, but it comes out as 18 ppg at away and 22 ppg at home. This would give you a factor of 0.9 for away games and 1.1 for home games. In theory, this means that when factoring in what bets to place on the Team tab, if Kyrie has a home game, then his average points per game (from the Offense tab) is then multiplied by the Home Factor (in the home/away adjustment tab) which would be the 1.10. You are essentially saying in this scenario that Kyrie will score 10% more points because he is playing at home. This number could be more or less depending on the player. I am only using this adjustment on a couple teams to see how it compares to the normal predicted points per game as far as accuracy goes. Finally, the most important tab is the **Team** tab which each team has their own, and I will add a picture example for clarification. On this tab, each player for that team has their own table, the first row is where their stats are pulled from the "Offense" tab. The second row of the table has their "predicted statistics" for a specific game. What I mean by this, is at the top of each team tab is a drop down menu where you select their opponent. The opponent selection changes how much of a factor each statistic is changed. So if the Nets are playing the Jazz tonight, the Jazz have a point factor of 0.96, which means in theory each player should only score 96% of their average points this season due to the Jazz having a slightly better defense than the NBA average. The Jazz have this defensive factor for every statistical category. The next row contains the "Gamble #'s", these are the numbers that fanduel has, for example: Kyrie Irving 24.5 points, oveunder, etc. I have a table at the bottom of the tab that allows for quick entry of this data versus constantly scrolling around the sheet looking for each person. The next row is "odds", this would be the odds of the bet that you decide to place, for example -110 +120, etc. The next row is the "Deviation" row. This row is the tricky part. What it does is takes the predicted statistic and subtracts the number that fanduel has and gives you a value. For example, if Kyrie is predicted to score 29.5 (his season average x the defensive factor his team is playing against) and Fanduel has him at 26.5, then this value would be 3 (predicted minus fanduel). The tricky part is giving this value a range for a "safe bet". We can use the above as an example, Kyrie has a deviation value of positive 3 which leads us to believe that he should score 3 points over the gamble number. This means that he is predicted to score 11.3% more than what fanduel has him at. I currently have the "deviation" row set with conditional formatting which is different for each category (points, rebounds, etc.). I have them set to 4 colors based on value ranges: red=no bet, gray=small bet, yellow=medium bet, and green=large bet. I do not want to say what I currently have them at (in case this program ends up valuable then that information itself is valuable), but we will make some numbers up. Let's say red is -10% - +10% this means that if the deviation row returns a value that is -10% - +10% of the Fanduel number, then the cell would change to red which tells me not to bet on that prop. Let's say gray is +- 10-15%, Kyrie's deviation from earlier was +11.3% so in that situation the cell would change to the color Gray letting me know that statistically speaking, I should place a small bet on Kyrie scoring over what Fanduel said. If this number returned -11.3% then that would let me know to place the bet on the under. The next row is "$ Bet" which is where I place the value of my bet, right now I am doing a standard 1, 2, 3 unit bet corresponding to gray, yellow, and green. The next row is the Win/Lose column, here I input a W or an L after the game is over based on whether the bet placed won or lost. The next row is the "Profit" which gives you how much you made off the bet. It automatically reads the win/lose column, if it is a W then it will calculate your odds and bet placed to give you your winnings. If it is an L, then it will automatically give you the - value of your bet as a loss. That is finally, all that is involved with the Player Table portion of this tab. To the right side of the player portion of the tab is each player's own profit table. This table records each statistics profit on an overall basis. Meaning it adds and totals after every game of bets. This is hopefully to show me (in the long run) which players are consistently winning/losing, or maybe all players are have negative returns on the oveunder assists bets and I need to change the values of the "deviation" tab to a higher % because they aren't as safe as I am calculating them to be. These are added up with formulas and macros so very easy work. Under these profit tables is where I keep track of the total amount of wins, losses, total bets placed, accuracy of the bets on each player, and money made/loss on each player. These numbers are collected elsewhere to give a team by team basis and an overall excel sheet basis so I can see the big picture and make adjustments as needed. Finally, I also track each team's total bets and accuracy on a game by game basis and return them to a different table so I can see how I am doing day in and day out. Lastly, I am also doing a few teams a little differently. I am only tracking 10 total teams right now as I am only 1 person. I am doing 5 teams as described above. I am also doing 5 different teams exactly as above with the exception of any returned deviations that are the color red, get a half unit bet rather than a no bet. I have noticed that a lot of the no bets are actually correct in what they predict, and so I am using these teams to see if bets by volume with some confidence might be safer than bets by better confidence with less volume. **Considerations** I know this file is by no means perfect, but I do think it is a great place to start at and adjust as the NBA season moves forward. The NBA season has just started and that is going to skew a lot of the data which is why I am only tracking it for now instead of betting real money. For example, if Steph Curry scored 62 points in his 2nd game, then his ppg average for 2020-2021 would be skewed higher than it should be and would give my formulas false confidence that I should be betting on his Points per game over every time. I try and keep an eye out for this as I update the sheets with the bets "placed". Another variable that is difficult to overcome are the blowouts which there have been a lot of this year. If the Mavericks beat the Clippers by 50 (which they did) then there is a good chance that Paul George and Kawhi Leonard won't play as much as they normally would which most likely would lead to any bets placed on their overs to miss. I am not sure if there is some way to factor in a "chance of blowout" that would tell you on the team's sheet to avoid betting or not. Maybe you set a spread limit, and if a team is favored to lose or win by X amount of points, you stay away from them on the chance of a blowout. Maybe there is some way to factor in average minutes played instead of just average stats per game? I know I am probably missing more of my thoughts right now, but I would like to see what everyone thinks of this concept and if you have any ideas yourself to contribute to the sheet that might help the accuracy. Hope everyone stays safe this year, and let's have a good 2021!!! EDIT: Maybe another way to get the deviation value is to do a % chance of winning the bet. Example, fanduel has Kyrie at 25.5 points. You have a formula in the predicted tab that instead taking his average statistic and multiplying it by the defense factor, it searches his statistics page on ESPN for this year and last year and cross references how many times he has scored over 25.5 points and how many times he hasn't and returns this number as a percentage. If that number is greater than 50% than it is statistically probable to happen. Maybe you cross reference this percentage with the percentage value that Fanduel has assigned the over bet to be valued at and if your percentage comes out higher than theirs, then you have a positive value bet? EDIT: picture linked in comments, it is the Clippers which for them I am using the volume bet method so the red cells are half unit bets instead of a NO bet.
After a 10-0 night on the sports betting side of windailsports.com one of our subscribers took two $100 dollar bets and turned it into almost 80 grand last night! I asked boss man if I could share the love on reddist so that anyone who wanted could take advantage of the arrival of Mike North, one of the best minds in the sports betting industry and the recent run we have been on and he said to go for it. So here you go ladies and gentlemen. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cash with Flash has NBA, NCAAB & NHL Predictions for tonight!! Glad to see you and we hope that your sports betting endeavors are going well. It’s been difficult handicapping professional sporting contests but if you’ve been tailing me, listening to my show, or read my books then you have been making money. Cash with Flash Best Bets has 2020-2021 season-long totals of 66-53-1 for NFL football, 48-21 in NCAAF, 40-29 for NCAAB, 15-9 in NHL, 53-31-1 in the NBA, and 85-45 for tennis this season. Had you wagered $100 dollars on each pick we offered you’d be ahead of the game by about $10,000 since September 8, 2020. That’s not too shabby. Tuesday was a terrific bounce-back day. We went 3-0 on the day and improved our Win Daily Sports record to 4-4. Yup, just like that we erased a tough Monday night. I employ a fixed-unit system of bankroll management. I explain this system and its nuances (along with other systems) in my books but the gist of it goes like this; I play one unit on every contest I have an edge in. No more and no less. I’m able to do this because I have a career winning percentage of 56.6 percent and winning at a 62 percent clip this season. It’s not the sexiest way of doing things that’s for sure but it does work for me. Let’s see what we have on tap for today! 📷 NBA 2020-2021 Money Line Leaders 1). New York Knicks +3.7 2). Charlotte Hornets +3.6 3). Chicago Bulls +3.1 4). Utah Jazz +2.7 5). Detroit +2.5 NBA 2020-201 ATS Leaders 1). New York Knicks (13-13) +3.7 2). Charlotte Hornets (14-11-1) +3.6 3). Chicago Bulls (14-10) +3.1 4). Utah Jazz (18-7) +3.1 5). Detroit Pistons (+3) Wager $10 on DET📷To Beat IND:$22.25Lose by less than 3:$19.09To Lose:$16.83 (13-10-1) +2.5 NBA 2020-2021 Totals Leaders 1). Brooklyn Nets (19-8 over record) +6.0 2). Denver Nuggets (18-6 over record) +5.6 3). Milwaukee Bucks (15-9-1 over record) +4.9 4). Detroit Pistons (14-10) +3.7 5). Chicago Bulls (13-11) +3.3 We have five games on the NBA schedule but Cash with Flash is only interested in a couple of these contests. Indiana Pacers(-3) Wager $10 on IND📷To Beat DET:$16.83Win by 3:$19.09To Lose:$22.25vs Detroit Pistons (+3) 📷 Normally I would be all over the home underdog and especially so against an Indiana Pacers side on the wrong end of a four-game losing streak. Malcolm Brogdon and Domatas Sabonis have struggled mightily during this losing streak but they play a Pistons team allowing an average of 118 points per game over their past five contests. Detroit is coming off of a huge home victory over a Kevin Durant-less Brooklyn Nets side that ended a four-game losing streak of their own. The Pacers are the better offense and will take this one by four points or more. Take the Indiana Pacers with confidence tonight. Philadelphia 76ers(-5.5) Wager $10 on PHI📷To Beat POR:$14.70Win by 5.5:$19.10To Lose:$27.85vsPortland Trail Blazers(+5.5)Wager $10 on POR📷To Beat PHI:$27.85Lose by less than 5.5:$19.10To Lose:$14.70(+5.5) Remember when the 76ers couldn’t win on the road? Those days seem to be over as Philadelphia is 7-5 and enters this matchup riding a two-game winning streak. They also have a red-hot Joel Embiid who’s averaging 32.3 points alongside 10.5 rebounds per game and the Trail Blazers don’t have anyone either living or dead who can stop him. Damian Lillard has been carrying the injury-plagued Trail Blazers but missed the Trail Blazers away victory over Philly one week ago. Ben Simmons also missed that contest and is raring to go but its looks as though Seth Curry will miss this tilt with an ankle injury. Lay the Points and take Philadelphia to cover the spread tonight. NCAAB 2020-2021 Money Line Leaders 1). Colgate +10.2 2). Morehead State +8.3 3). Wright State +7.9 4). UC Riverside +7.2 5). Prairie View +6.8 NCAAB 2020-2021 ATS Leaders 1). Colgate (5-3) +10.2 2). Morehead State (14-5) +8.3 3). Wright State (12-7) +7.9 4). UC Riverside (8-3-1) +7.2 5). Praire View (10-1) +6.8 NCAAB 2020-2021 Totals Leaders 📷 1). American University (3-1 over) +13.9 2). Long Beach State (6-2 over) +11.4 3). St Francis NY (7-4 over) +10.7 4). Cal Baptist (9-3 over) +9.6 5). Southern Utah (8-3) +8.2 There are several NCAAB games tonight and Cash with Flash likes one contest very much. You must stay out ahead of injuries plus coronavirus concerns and the best website I know for this would be Newsday. Georgia Southern vs Georgia State (138.5 Total) A majority of these two sides’ contests have ended under the total and I suspect that this one won’t be that much different when they meet tonight. Three of their last five meetings have ended under the total and these are two fairly good defenses. Georgia State has one of the best turnover percentages in the college game but Southern is twelfth in the nation at causing turnovers. Neither side shoots the ball well from long range and both squads have pedestrian offensive rebound percentages. Take the UNDER in this one! NHL Top Five Winning Teams We’re not talking about how many games a team wins but how much money you would win had you wagered $100 on each of the following teams’ total games this season. 1). Toronto Maple Leafs $470 2). Carolina Hurricanes (-1.5) Wager $10 on CAR📷To Beat DAL:$17.90Win by 1.5:$28.48To Lose:$20.89 $264 3). Tampa Bay Lightning (-1.5)Wager $10 on TAM📷To Beat FLA:$16.25Win by 1.5:$25.54To Lose:$23.82 $247 4). Boston BruinsWager $10 on BOS📷To Beat NYR:$15.44To Lose:$25.02 $246 5). Vegas Golden Knights (-1.5)Wager $10 on LAS📷To Beat ANA:$14.40Win by 1.5:$17.74To Lose:$29.15 $189 NHL Top Five Losing Teams 📷 1). Ottawa Senators (+1.5) Wager $10 on OTT📷To Beat WIN:$27.60Lose by less than 1.5:$17.51To Lose:$14.85 -$765 2). Detroit Red Wings (+1.5)Wager $10 on DET📷To Beat NAS:$25.27Lose by less than 1.5:$16.44To Lose:$15.69 -$523 3). New York RangersWager $10 on NYR📷To Beat BOS:$25.02To Lose:$15.44 -$427 4). Vancouver Canucks (+1)Wager $10 on VAN📷To Beat CAL:$21.89Lose by less than 1:$23.56To Lose:$17.19 -$453 5). Nashville Predators (-1.5)Wager $10 on NAS📷To Beat DET:$15.69Win by 1.5:$16.44To Lose:$25.27 -$419 Carolina Hurricanes vsDallas Stars(+1.5) Wager $10 on DAL📷To Beat CAR:$20.89Lose by less than 1.5:$28.48To Lose:$17.90(O/U 5.5 Goals) I can see grabbing Carolina at -121 tonight but I don’t think that would be the best bet for this contest. Carolina has a terrific offense and scores an average of 3.14 goals per game and the Stars average 3.33 goals scored per game but has lit the lamp just five times over their last three matchups. James Reimer will likely tend to the twine and he’s allowed 16 goals over his past four starts and Anton Khudobin has allowed 11 goals over the past three starts including seven goals over two consecutive losses to Carolina during that same three-game span. Take the OVER in this game!!
Sorry for the bad quality, this is the best I could do with the help of online image resizer. Invasion consists of 3 armies 390k men, with the supports of Leningrad Red fleet and squadrons of close air supports and medium bombers. Time to liberate Finland comrades.
R5: Archaelogical dig ended with a very 4th wall breaking event that had me thinking about all the empires I had created then abandoned when I got bored. EDIT: The cut off text says that every item has an inscription dedicated to their god (you, the player). EDIT 2: Mod is Archaeological Story Pack EDIT 3: Wow, thanks for the Gold stranger!
Good morning, sisters, do you want to befr…purge some hereticts today? Model info: - Created and rendered in Studio 2.0 - 347 parts If you like my work, feel free to support the Humanoid Colossus on Lego Ideas.
R5: Recently I as feeling particularly cursed and remembered that I saw somewhere AIs making U - WU combination on smaller scale so I decided to make most horrific EU4 map I could and possibly give you all a stroke. Sadly I couldn't fit additional OWO nation ruling over Japan because it was messing up main name placement. P.S. You don't have to wish me death for this, I already died inside at least 13 times while making this abomination.
Basically uninstalled the game after it crashing every time I try to load up. I can play every other paradox game but my favorite of course Europa. Now after reinstalling my game is literally unplayable
A finished game as Portugal where I eschewed colonialism for conquest. Catholic Christianity now spreads across the landscape of Northern Africa and has even taken root in the ancient cities of Mecca and Jerusalem under the leadership of the Portuguese monarchy. Long live the king.
R5: was playing "stalemate: the frozen war" as Italy and decided to look up other majors focuses. This U.S.A. focus is quite... "historical", i guess. (edit: sorry for bad quality, i didn’t realize it until i posted) (edit 2: the name of the mod)
I'm relatively new to this game. So I sat down and started playing Crimea released from Russia. Basically did nothing the whole game, but did manage to make secondary power. Edit: Map
R5: Come, citizens of Greece! Visit the great metropolis of Greater Knossos on the Isle of Crete! Yes, its sheer size can sometimes be intimidating to first-time visitors, but be assured that it is a sight one needs to see at least once in one’s life. The city’s remarkable road network will ensure that you shall never find yourself at a loss where to go. If the bustle of the outer districts’ markets becomes too omnipresent, take a stroll through the wooded parks of Gortyna or marvel at the great palaces of Knossos itself. Visit the famous Eastern Quarter (confusingly located on the western side of the island) and mingle with exotic folk from lands as far away as Babylon or India, or take a short voyage by boat and spend your money in the renowned fish markets of Karpathos. (It is recommended that you avoid the area around Hierapytna, however. While the king of Crete categorically denies that its harbour has ever harboured pirates or like-minded scum, visitors can never be too careful.)
This was my first game playing as Bactria going for the "To the End of the World" and "The Man who would be King" achievements. Pretty fun run overall :)
R5: Finally finished my Heraclea Persica achievement run on hard difficulty at the second attempt. Thought the Empire looked pretty cool with some neat borders so I decided to share it with you (sorry for the glowing border bug, don't know how to get rid of it). Anyway, I think Cyrus would be proud :)
I wanted to improve upon my hydroelectric dam complex I am using in my other city. Found a way to border a canal with a quay to give the spillway a better look. Used a road maintenance building, earthquake sensors, cable car cables, and regular power lines to create a powerhouse building. Still need to add a visitor center at the top and terraform/develope the surrounding area.
This is my first non-campaign game of Prison architect. Originally, it didn't have a name, but over time it gained the moniker of Hell, both from me and from the individuals who were on Discord Voice Chat with me whilst I was playing it, laughing hysterically at my unexaggerated descriptions of this dystopian abomination of a prison. Why, you may ask, was it named Hell? Why was it so horrible? Quick answer, take a quick peek at the graveyard. Long answer, well... Every single day there were casualties. This image was taken when, for the first time in as long as I could remember, there had been no escapes or deaths in 24 hours. Every single day up until those last 24 hours, the prisoners would carve a bloody path of slaughter from the canteen to the reception, leaving dead guards and prisoners in their wake. Usually, almost the entire prison was involved, though of those prisoners, never more than half a dozen of them successfully escaped, if they made it past the gates in the first place before the riot police showed up. The showers were such a slaughterhouse that I ended up leaving three guards, one of whom was armed, patrolling them at all times. The canteen was constantly in a state of perpetual warfare every single time people ate there, though these were less likely to be fatal, except when they turned into an assault on the exit, which was frequent. I had made the mistake of turning on the option that removed the limit on what kind of contraband could be snuck in, which lead to a constant supply of guns, battering rams, keys to the doors, and who knows what else being smuggled in or thrown over the walls (Who know how they threw a feckin' battering ram over the wall, but who am I questioning these people) I am no longer looking to improve or expand this abomination, and I haven't been for some time. I have finally been given the opportunity to sell this unholy tomb for 500,000, and I hope and pray the next one will turn out even slightly better. If anyone has any nuggets of wisdom on how to prevent a second Hell from being created, please say. This labyrinth of slaughter will haunt me until the end of my days, and I don't want to repeat the mistakes I made here. And now if you'll excuse me, I'm going to save the game, lock open all the doors, turn off the power, and let this place go down in a blaze of glory.
I've been playing Surviving Mars for about 2 years now, on and off, with no DLC. I got the Dredgers event on this playthrough, and once it was done I decided to take a photo of my colony in the Cover Art style. Hope you like it!
Memes aside, the T-34/85 '43 has always been in a rather sad spot in divisions which could pick between the '43 and '44 variant. The main redeeming factor of the '43 is its somewhat better availability (because the price sure was hell isn't a redeeming factor). But with the recent APCR changes, '44 variant has become even stronger, making the '43 variant and divisions that rely on the '43 variant that much less viable. With it's APCR, the '44 variant can comfortably handle anything short of a KT or Ferdi. TL;DR- game balance have become whack ever since APCR buff. Credits to KKND on Discord for inspiring this meme.
I’m glad we have a regular sized slate back. Jumping between large 10+ game slates and small 3 game slates was getting annoying. However, tonight’s slate has just one game with a spread under 7 points so it might be a one-sided night. Regardless, we are here to bring you our favorite picks.
Core Chris Paul ($7,100) - With Devin Booker likely out for this game, a lot of opportunity has opened up on the Phoenix side of things. Chris Paul will take over as the highest usage player in a game with just a 2.5 point spread. In fact, this is the only game on the slate with a spread inside of 7 points. CP3 will get a full workload against Jamal Murray who has a -2.7 DBPM, one of the worst in the league.
Cash Rudy Gobert ($7,300) - Gobert's price has fallen victim to tough matchups over the past few games. It has dropped almost $1,000 but he has had to face the Nuggets once and Pelicans twice. Yet he still managed double-doubles in all of those games. This price is just frankly too cheap for a guy who has a floor of 30 DK points and now matches up against a rookie Center.
Kings Exercise Droit du Seigneur over Knicks, 103-94
Google it. INTRO Welcome to another edition of "Shouting into the Void: Knicks Edition"!! Knicks and Kings with the Friday Night Special, and this is lowkey my favorite type of game: two midtier teams that play hard and are evenly matched. Wouldn't you rather see that than a "duel" between name-brand "stars" that make a habit of not trying to shoot and flailing into guys instead? And feel they have the right to openly fume, pout, or sulk at their teammates? Give me fun mediocre teams all day. F**** tanking. This matchup in particular is a streamer's delight. The broadcast is guaranteed gold either way, you've got Mark Jones and Doug Christie vs. Kenny Albert (would be Breen but he does ESPN on Friday nights) and Clyde Frazier the style god. Mark Jones guaranteed to deliver a soul food or hip hop reference in the most calculated fashion, while Kenny Albert has a nice bark and does nothing interesting to stand out, a stone cold pro who blends into the background like the play by play men of old. Doug Christie is pretty good for an ex player, authentically down with the locker room but restrained too. He wears bow ties and 3 piece suits on the broadcast, make of that what you will. Clyde Frazier is in his own league as a color man, the epitome of style and grace. I'm not biased, ask anybody. The 2020-2021 Kings allow the most points in the league and are on pace for most in NBA history. Defensive rating has them last too. Their offense is 10th best. It makes perfect sense that their record is 5-10. The Kings coaching staff is actually loaded with talent: ex-star players Bobby Jackson and Stacey Augmon, 17 year head coach Alvin Gentry and legendary league lifer Rex Kalamian who's been an assistant since 1996, and offseason Youtube god Rico Hines. Oh yeah and Luke Walton in the big chair. Basketball Reference says his nickname is "Little Wheats", and he was a good role player back in the day 1Q Anyway, this game started with a 5 minute delay after the first play, thoroughly killing the vibe. Harrison Barnes tried to regain the energy by dunking on someone egregiously and got nothing but back rim, love to see it. This quarter was slow and boring until the first round of subs. The Knicks needed a spark from the bench and got it, sparking an 13-2 run to end the first quarter after a slow start on this second night of a back to back. Julius Randle scored 12 and RJ Barrett had 8 in the first quarter. 2Q Chimie Metu had the kind of exciting variance in his game we're looking for: a sick dunk and huge block in his first 5 minutes, and 3 fouls. At least his chair was still warm. Tyrese Halliburton did work this quarter, getting guys to bite on pump fakes for floaters twice, hitting a 3, dishing up assists, a block on floater, and a beautiful jump into the passing lane for a steal and a dunk. 13 points this quarter. Bagley's camp wants a trade but he's out here missing two free throws. How about trade in your lack of focus for a more fundamentally sound shot my guy. After I wrote that he got straight backboard no rim on a wing 3. His lefty hook is nice though if a little soft. 3Q Julius Randle bullied Bagley, went right into his chest and got to the hoop for an and-1. Kings are playing Bagley and Holmes together, let's see if that continues this season. Kings got lots of second chances thanks to Richaun Holmes. Kings led by 4 at the end of the 3rd. 4th Kings focused up on defense and had the Knicks stuck repeatedly, facing away from the hoop looking for someone to pass to. They got many lucky and tough plays in their favor, like Cory Joseph AKA Mr. 12 Million Per Year hitting a fadeaway bank off the glass to put the Kings up 12 at the end of the shot clock. Huge lucky shot to fend off a small Knicks run. Randle bodied Bagley again on a post up and then Fox hits a big step back 3. Alec Burks followed it up with a corner 3 to cut the Kings lead to 7. Both teams traded punches, Knicks really need to execute on offense if they want to win. Let's go live with it: 5:18 RANDLE COOKS BAGLEY AGAIN FOR THE AND 1. If you don't like that you don't like Knicks basketball. Iso bullyball counts as offensive execution. Kings up by 4. 4:30 Bagley fouls Randle again to trigger the bonus- Knicks will shoot FTs the rest of the way. He got em both and it's Kings by 2. Oh baby. Timeout Knicks. 3:52 Glenn Robinson II blocks an Alec Burks 3 and Fox hurls himself into the rim protection for 2 at the line. Kings by 4. 3:00-2:30 left- Kings force two consecutive Knick desperation heaves at the end of shot clocks, and Tyrese Halliburton hits a 3. Man he looks good tonight. Kings by 7. Knicks come right back with an offensive foul. Kings by 9. 2:00- Randle with the put back after Elf Payton got blocked by Holmes on a fast break layup attempt. Kings by 7. 1:45 DeAaron Fox caught the god damn Knicks sleeping on D and got an open dunk in the lane. Then Holmes scored after a Kings steal. Well timed little flurry by the Kings to make it 11. An 11-3 scoring run for them. 1:20 Burks stops the clock and gets just 1 of 2 FTs. Can we flip him for Halliburton? 1:01 Fox fouled, facilitating free throws. First good, following one fails. :55 Bagley fouls out with a double double and his team up by 11. :24 And-1 opportunity for Mitch Robinson off the putback, and he shot the line-driveyest free throw I've ever seen. I don't understand how you can be en elite athlete and not look at what other guys are doing with their arms and try it. Game over. TAKEAWAYS -Elfrid and Alec Burks shot a combined 6 for 26, and Noel and Bullock combined for 0 points in about 20 minutes each. The Knicks stars just aren't good enough to overcome that. -Julius Randle with a strong 26 and 15 in the losing effort, he was smart to attack Bagley repeatedly. The Knicks honestly should have spread the floor and let him go one on one. -Harrison Barnes had a rather low key 21, 8 and 7. The Knicks can gut out wins but they aren't good enough to beat the really steady pros like Barnes. That's depressing. -Tyrese Halliburton killed the Knicks, scoring at all 3 levels, facilitating, and making plays on defense. Looking back it was his 3 around 2:30 left that killed the Knicks chances. -Knicks play again in Portland on Sunday. Shoutout DownToBuck for everything
The main slate today is simple – well, at least in terms of which game to attack – it all starts and ends with Brooklyn Nets(-6) Wager $10 on BRK📷To Beat WAS:$13.77Win by 6:$19.11To Lose:$31.60andWashington Wizards(+6)Wager $10 on WAS📷To Beat BRK:$31.60Lose by less than 6:$19.11To Lose:$13.77. This game is a DFS goldmine – a massive 245+ total, 20 points higher than any other game, featuring the highest projected pace and two teams that believe defense is optional. The Wizards rank as the third worst defensive team in the NBA this season while Brooklyn ranks bottom three over the last 10 games, coinciding with the James Harden trade. We have a high total, high pace, and no defense – all-around some serious star power – so, getting this game right is the most critical aspect of today. The tricky part in this game is that we lack the value we need to stack the stars here and so it means we have to be strategic in which big spends we use from this game. Now if James Harden ($10.6K) were to miss this game, officially questionable with a thigh injury, it would open up a much clearer path for the Brooklyn side of this game. Obviously, Harden being out would be a huge boost to the ceiling of both Kyrie Irving ($9.3K) and Kevin Durant($10.1K) and it would open up some fringe value as it did on Friday Night with guys like Bruce Brown and TLC, who both remain under $4K. The Wizards side has the obvious star power duo in Bradley Beal ($10.2K) and Russell Westbrook ($9K). The tricky part with Washington is that they are starting to get back to full healthy so the mid-range and fringe plays become far more risky especially as many of them (Rui, Bertans etc) are coming off a long COVID related lay-off. Unfortunately, just clicking on Beal/Westbrook and Durant/Irving is not possible today – like DraftKings made it mathematically impossible. So how do you prioritize the stars here. For me, the two pieces I am locked in on are Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. Durant has been the highest FP/M piece for the Nets with Harden off the court and with his price ticked down while Irving has ticked up – I think paying the slight premium for KD is the best use of our salary. Westbrook at $9K is just too cheap – he played 27 minutes last game and that was with him being ejected with 10 minutes remaining so the 30+ minutes seem like a lock here tonight. The question of the third star is really where you need to make a tough choice – is it Beal or Kyrie OR even Harden if he does play? I will say – I find myself landing on Bradley Beal ($10.2K) despite the inflated price really as it relates to how I want to attack the Wizards. With the Wizards fringe players all getting healthy and splitting minutes, I feel like your throwing darts and hoping you hit your secondary Washington exposure correctly. Instead – can we just take the approach of going with Westbrook AND Beal and getting essentially all the usage and fantasy production? This duo combined for 105 DK points in their only other meeting versus Brooklyn this season so the ceiling is obvious. Now this means we have to fade a second Brooklyn star – but I would argue, we have more paths to attack with the secondary options on the Nets especially if Harden does sit. Joe Harris ($5.5K) is the option I am most interested in running alongside Durant as his ability to spread the floor and rack up three-points could give him a ceiling path tonight. The Wizards rank 22 out of 30 NBA teams this season in 3P% allowed and rank as the second-worst team overall in FG% allowed. Harris has the ability to get to 6X value with his shooting alone ( he hit 33 DK points against Miami just a few days ago on 7 threes made) and so if he has that kind of efficiency tonight and gets you ANY peripheral upside – you could get a GPP game changer.
Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up
The biggest thing we need to watch today is the status of James Harden and Joel Embiid. Harden missing this game would give a massive boost to the fringe Nets like Harris, Bruce Brown and TLC. Embiid being out means we could get serious Center value with Dwight Howard and Tony Bradley both under $4K. The other spot we may get for value is in Minnesota with KAT out once again and Naz Reid questionable. The lack of big men against a massive Cavs frontcourt means that guys like Ed Davis and Jaden McDaniels will be pushed to take on more minutes at $3K price points. Oh and by the way – it is McDaniels birthday today – so you know what to do! Enjoy this slate – let’s get in Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this NBA DFS season with some big wins! Make sure you follow me onTwitter at @2LockSportsand be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here atWin Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into ourDiscordwhere we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Yesterday was another interesting day in the NBA. There were so many guys that absolutely crushed their value, and a lot of them were really highly owned. Today doesn't seem to have the same number of players that will be resting/sitting out, so I really doubt we will see anyone with ownership like yesterday. Levert came in at 70% owned in a contest with over 200k on Fanduel. The winner of that contest didn't have a single player with less than 11% ownership either! That's wild! Im going to mix it up again with this post today, as there are wayyyy too many different ways to build a lineup. I'll be briefly breaking down each game, and providing some plays I like in there. 7 out of the 10 games are projected to stay within 5 points, which makes predicting player minutes and game script easier, so there should be a lot of really good plays out there today. Here we go *Warriors V Pistons *. Line: GSW -4.5 Total 226.0 The Pistons are expected to have Blake Griffin and D-Rose back today, so don't get too excited about some of that Pistons value from yesterday. It's not impossible that this game turns into a shootout, as neither team has showed much defensive prowess at all. I won't be looking for value plays from this game, but the STUDS seem to be in a good spot. STEPH CURRY ($9400) has opened the season shooting 38% from the field 26% from 3!! You can argue that defenses focus more on him without a strong supporting cast, but this is Steph were talking about here. If I use Steph tonight, I will definitely run it back with 1 or 2 Pistons as well. Blake played 35 and 44 minutes in his two games and they rested him last night. This price is pretty low for him considering he's averaging 10 3pt attempts a game right now, and has yet to collect more than 7 rebounds. He's facing a really weak Warriors frontcourt, and can provide some value at a price lower than the other studs at this position. Plumlee, DRose, and Grant are all priced at 6k or below which is too low IMHO Raptors v Sixers Line: PHI -1.5 Total 218.5 This should be a great basketball game. Both teams are looking to find their groove early in the year, so I'm expecting an intense, physical, defensive game. Those types of games aren't necessarily great for us Fantasy players though. It probably won't be the lowest scoring game on the slate, but it definitely won't be the highest. Both teams also appear to have their full lineups for tonight, so I'm not seeing any really strong value here. I will be fading this game from a fantasy standpoint this evening Celtics v Pacers Line: IND -1.0 Total: 218.0 This game is predicted to be almost identical to the game above, and these teams just played against each other two days ago! Something of note from that game was that the Pacers were without OLADIPO, and ran an 8-man rotation. He is a high usage player, so I will be waiting to see how their team flows before I go back to using guys like SABONIS and BROGDON. The Celtics team is priced properly for their mins and usage, so I'm not really getting much interest for their side. I will also be fading this game from a fantasy standpoint this evening Bulls v Wizards Line: WAS -6.5 Total 237.5!! Here comes the hammer. This is the highest game total of the evening by 10 points, so ownership should be fairly centered around these plays. News to watch out for is LAURI MARKANNEN. If he doesn't play, the debut of THADDEUS YOUNG ($3800) becomes really, really, intriguing. My guy COBY WHITE at $5900 should also provide a high floor play, with potential to bust through the ceiling. On the Washington side, BEAL and WESTBROOK are obviously good plays, but don't forget about THOMAS BRYANT at only $5200. He should see upwards of 30 minutes for the 3rd time this season, and can thus smash this price. He gets blocks, rebounds, hits threes, etc. Not a bad play here at all. Cavs v Knicks Line: CAVS -3.0 Total 216.0 This game scares me. Both have been a bit better than expected to start the season, and this is one of the few games tonight with some major injury issues. The Cavs are missing Love, Porter, and Okoro from their rotation and the Knicks are without DSJ, Rivers, Burks, and Toppin from theirs. There's some good value here. RANDLE $7700, BARRETT $6200, and PAYTON $4800 should control the usage for the Knicks, but don't be surprised if KEVIN KNOX $3600 breaks his value here. Cleveland should be a little more spread out with their usage, but guys like COLIN SEXTON $6800, and ANDRE DRUMMOND $9400 could absolutely crush their price here. DANTE EXUM $3600 saw in the mid 20s of minutes last game, and is in a good spot to do so again here. That's a good recipe for breaking this min price value. Bucks v Heat Line: MIL -5.5 Total 226.5 Jimmy Butler looks to be sitting for this game, which makes the Heat plays pretty intriguing. TYLER HERRO $4500 and DUNCAN ROBINSON $4600 have already been seeing over 30 minutes a game, so they're virtual locks to do so again. I like HERRO a good bit more today, since he does a bit more to fill the stat sheet. DRAGIC $6900 and BAM $8200 should see the majority of usage, but their prices are pretty high for me. I'd much rather play JRUE HOLIDAY $6400 than Middleton or Giannis today from the Bucks, as their prices also make it difficult, and he's cheaper than DRAGIC. Magic v Thunder Line: ORL -6.0 Total 218.0 Thunder come off a tough loss last night to the Jazz, and the Magic have looked pretty strong to start the season. AL Horford is out tonight, and George Hill is most likely out as well. Cheap guys like HAMIDOU DIALLO $3900, THEO MALEDON $3500, and MIKE MUSCALA $4100, could see a boost in their minutes into the mid 20s, and I like that. SGA $8000, DORT $5100, and BAZLEY $6200 are also very strong plays, but should grab some heavy ownership. The Magic team is healthy, and much more balanced offensively. None of their prices really stick out, either, so I will likely avoid them. I really like one of DIALLO or MALEDON to break 25 fantasy points tonight if George Hill sits. Denver v Sacramento Line: DEN -2.0 Total 227.0 Denver is on the second night of a back2back but were able to give their studs some really solid rest last night while giving the Rockets a beatdown. JAMAL MURRAY is too low at $6600 for me to ignore, especially since I'm looking toward playing this game as a stack with him and JOKIC $10300 along with the high floor play BUDDY HIELD $5400 on the other side. This game is the next highest total behind the Bulls/Wizards, and I really like that 2-1 stack a lot to combine for well over 120 fantasy points tonight. RICHAUN HOLMES at $4700 also provides a really safe floor for a guy at that price if you are looking to spend down at C today. Minnesota v LA Clippers Line: LAC-11 Total 226.0 I won't be touching this game with a 10 foot pole today. After their shitshow of a game vs Dallas, I look for the Clippers to bounce back hard vs this Minnesota team without KAT. If they keep this game close, somehow, and all the expensive guys get their value, I'll gladly shake their hands and move on to tomorrow. There are much better plays on the slate today. Phoenix v New Orleans Line: PHX -2.5 Total 221.5 Phoenix comes off splitting a serious with the Kings that saw them struggle a bit on the rebounds. ZION at $8600, and BI $8400 can still get to their numbers, but I'd rather play STEVEN ADAMS at $5400 tonight. He's been steadily seeing 30 minutes, and should be able to dominate inside tonight. The Suns have seen strong wing play, but are bringing back DARIO SARIC tonight, so guys like BRIDGES and JOHNSON should see a few less shots. DEVIN BOOKER at $7500 has been a little disappointing to start the year, but is way more than capable of crushing this price here. He's my favorite play from this game. Best of luck tonight! Hope some of this info clears a huge slate up for you all! Kitty
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